Old school nomination fight

The more things change, the more they come full circle. By now you may have heard that despite coming up just short in the Nevada caucuses, Barack Obama takes more state delegates out of Nevada because of how delegates are allocated by congressional district. Let’s just use this as a time to remember that this is a DELEGATE race, not a voter race. I’m not saying this is right or wrong, just that it is what it is. I’ll grant that Hillary Clinton has a slight momentum boost now, but there is still an almost 50 percent chance that this goes to a brokered convention (multiple ballots). Clinton has to sweep the field on Super Tuesday to win outright and there remains a smaller chance that the Clinton tactics will backfire and allow an Obama sweep. (So much of this depends on who wins South Carolina next Saturday).

The chances of a brokered convention on the Republican side are even greater. There are still FOUR people who could win that one. And then all of a sudden my generation will get a lesson in how things used to be, back when politics was a craft and not a puppet show. How many convention floor leaders from 1952 are still alive? Better check.

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